Event

Asset Pricing In a World of Imperfect Foresight

  • Conférencier  Peter Bossaerts – University of Melbourne

  • Lieu

    University of Luxembourg Metz/Nancy Room 29 Boulevard J.-F. Kennedy L-1855 Luxembourg

    LU

  • Thème(s)
    Finance

We consider a canonical model of asset pricing, where agents with quadratic preferences are allowed to re-trade a limited set of securities for a number of periods, after

which these securities expire, and agents consume their liquidation values. A key assumption in this model is that agents have perfect foresight: they correctly predict

prices in all future contingencies. We show that, under myopia, prices generically are as if agents had perfect foresight. Yet their choices are wrong, » because agents ignore

that they can re-trade. In an experiment, prices and choices are found to be as predicted by myopia.