{"id":7068,"date":"2018-08-22T15:21:35","date_gmt":"2018-08-22T13:21:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/"},"modified":"2018-08-22T15:21:35","modified_gmt":"2018-08-22T13:21:35","slug":"a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets","status":"publish","type":"events","link":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-free-section section\"><div class=\"container xl:max-w-screen-xl\"><p>Abstract<\/p><p>This paper studies the dynamic interaction between the net<\/p><p>positions of commercial hedgers and non-commercial<\/p><p>speculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.<\/p><p>Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquidity<\/p><p>demands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variation<\/p><p>is primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercial<\/p><p>traders. These two components influence expected futures<\/p><p>returns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidity<\/p><p>by commercials largely offset the premium they pay for<\/p><p>obtaining price insurance.<\/p><\/div><\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AbstractThis paper studies the dynamic interaction between the netpositions of commercial hedgers and non-commercialspeculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquiditydemands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variationis primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercialtraders. These two components influence expected futuresreturns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidityby commercials largely offset the premium they pay forobtaining price insurance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":7069,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"featured_image_focal_point":[],"show_featured_caption":false,"ulux_newsletter_groups":"","uluxPostTitle":"","uluxPrePostTitle":"","_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false,"event_start_date":"2018-09-18 12:30:00","event_end_date":"2018-09-18 13:45:00","event_speaker_name":"K. Geert Rouwenhorst - Yale School of Management","event_speaker_link":"","event_is_online":false,"event_location":"\r\nLuxembourg School of Finance\r\nJFK Building\r\n29,Avenue J.F Kennedy\r\nL-1855 Luxembourg\r\nGround Floor, Nancy Room","event_street":"","event_location_link":"","event_zip_code":"","event_city":"","event_country":"LU"},"events-topic":[309],"events-type":[],"organisation":[116,101,226],"authorship":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v22.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets - Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"AbstractThis paper studies the dynamic interaction between the netpositions of commercial hedgers and non-commercialspeculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquiditydemands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variationis primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercialtraders. These two components influence expected futuresreturns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidityby commercials largely offset the premium they pay forobtaining price insurance.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"AbstractThis paper studies the dynamic interaction between the netpositions of commercial hedgers and non-commercialspeculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquiditydemands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variationis primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercialtraders. These two components influence expected futuresreturns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidityby commercials largely offset the premium they pay forobtaining price insurance.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"UNI FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/uni.lu\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/03\/03120045\/UNIV_SM-Profile_1600x1600px-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/\",\"name\":\"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets - Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2018\/08\/a_tale_of_two_premiums_the_role_of_hedgers_and_speculators_in_commodity_futures_markets.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-08-22T13:21:35+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-08-22T13:21:35+00:00\",\"description\":\"AbstractThis paper studies the dynamic interaction between the netpositions of commercial hedgers and non-commercialspeculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquiditydemands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variationis primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercialtraders. These two components influence expected futuresreturns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidityby commercials largely offset the premium they pay forobtaining price insurance.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2018\/08\/a_tale_of_two_premiums_the_role_of_hedgers_and_speculators_in_commodity_futures_markets.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2018\/08\/a_tale_of_two_premiums_the_role_of_hedgers_and_speculators_in_commodity_futures_markets.jpg\",\"width\":800,\"height\":600},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Events\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/\",\"name\":\"Uni.lu\",\"description\":\"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg\",\"alternateName\":\"Uni.lu\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/03\/03120045\/UNIV_SM-Profile_1600x1600px-scaled.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/03\/03120045\/UNIV_SM-Profile_1600x1600px-scaled.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":2560,\"caption\":\"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/uni.lu\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/school\/university-of-luxembourg\/\",\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/uni.lu\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@uni_lu\",\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/University_of_Luxembourg\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets - Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg","description":"AbstractThis paper studies the dynamic interaction between the netpositions of commercial hedgers and non-commercialspeculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquiditydemands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variationis primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercialtraders. These two components influence expected futuresreturns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidityby commercials largely offset the premium they pay forobtaining price insurance.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/","og_locale":"fr_FR","og_type":"article","og_title":"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets","og_description":"AbstractThis paper studies the dynamic interaction between the netpositions of commercial hedgers and non-commercialspeculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquiditydemands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variationis primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercialtraders. These two components influence expected futuresreturns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidityby commercials largely offset the premium they pay forobtaining price insurance.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/","og_site_name":"UNI FR","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/uni.lu","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":2560,"url":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/03\/03120045\/UNIV_SM-Profile_1600x1600px-scaled.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/","url":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/","name":"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets - Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2018\/08\/a_tale_of_two_premiums_the_role_of_hedgers_and_speculators_in_commodity_futures_markets.jpg","datePublished":"2018-08-22T13:21:35+00:00","dateModified":"2018-08-22T13:21:35+00:00","description":"AbstractThis paper studies the dynamic interaction between the netpositions of commercial hedgers and non-commercialspeculators and risk premiums in commodity futures markets.Short-term position changes are mainly driven by the liquiditydemands of non-commercial traders, while long-term variationis primarily driven by the hedging demands from commercialtraders. These two components influence expected futuresreturns with opposite signs. The gains from providing liquidityby commercials largely offset the premium they pay forobtaining price insurance.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"fr-FR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2018\/08\/a_tale_of_two_premiums_the_role_of_hedgers_and_speculators_in_commodity_futures_markets.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2018\/08\/a_tale_of_two_premiums_the_role_of_hedgers_and_speculators_in_commodity_futures_markets.jpg","width":800,"height":600},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/a-tale-of-two-premiums-the-role-of-hedgers-and-speculators-in-commodity-futures-markets\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Events","item":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/events\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"A Tale of Two Premiums: The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in Commodity Futures Markets"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/","name":"Uni.lu","description":"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#organization"},"alternateName":"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"fr-FR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#organization","name":"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg","alternateName":"Uni.lu","url":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"fr-FR","@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/03\/03120045\/UNIV_SM-Profile_1600x1600px-scaled.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/03\/03120045\/UNIV_SM-Profile_1600x1600px-scaled.jpg","width":2560,"height":2560,"caption":"Universit\u00e9 du Luxembourg"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/uni.lu","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/school\/university-of-luxembourg\/","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/uni.lu","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@uni_lu","https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/University_of_Luxembourg"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/events\/7068"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/events"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/events"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7068"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/events\/7068\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7069"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"events-topic","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/events-topic?post=7068"},{"taxonomy":"events-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/events-type?post=7068"},{"taxonomy":"organisation","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/organisation?post=7068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}