{"id":4028,"date":"2023-08-31T08:26:24","date_gmt":"2023-08-31T06:26:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fdef-en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=4028"},"modified":"2023-11-14T14:50:45","modified_gmt":"2023-11-14T13:50:45","slug":"dem-lunch-seminar-in-economics-timing-decisions-under-uncertainty","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fdef-en\/news\/dem-lunch-seminar-in-economics-timing-decisions-under-uncertainty\/","title":{"rendered":"27 Sept &#8211; DEM Lunch Seminar in Economics: Timing Decisions under Uncertainty"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<section class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-free-section section\"><div class=\"container xl:max-w-screen-xl\">\n<p><strong>Timing Decisions under Uncertainty<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Speaker:&nbsp;<\/strong>Sarah Auster<br>University of Bonn, DE<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DATE:<\/strong>\u00a0Wednesday 27 September 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>TIME:<\/strong>\u00a013.00 \u2013 14.00<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>LANGUAGE:<\/strong> English<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><u>Location:<\/u><\/strong><br>Campus Kirchberg<br>6, Rue Richard Coudenhove-Kalergi<br>L-1359 Luxembourg<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Registration:<\/strong><br>&#8211; Free seminar<br>&#8211; Registration link: as of September 11th, 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Contact:<br><\/strong><a href=\"mailto:dem@uni.lu\">dem@uni.lu<\/a> <br>Tel: +352 46 66 44 6283<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><u>Abstract:<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We study the effect of ambiguity on timing decisions. An agent faces a stopping problem with an uncertain stopping payoff and a stochastic time limit. The agent is unsure about the correct model quantifying the uncertainty and seeks to maximize her payoff guarantee over all plausible models. We show that if model uncertainty only concerns the remaining time, the DM optimally acts as soon as this becomes optimal under one of the models. Viewed from an ex-ante perspective, stopping at this point may however be premature. In contrast, if there is uncertainty about the expected payoff from acting, the DM often has incentives to wait longer than initially optimal. Anticipating these incentives, a forward-looking agent may then find it optimal to exert self-control by shortening the waiting time with respect to her ideal policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><u>About Sarah Auster:<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Sarah Auster <\/em><\/strong><em>is<\/em> <em>a microeconomic theorist working in the fields of information economics, contract theory, and decision theory. Her current work focuses on learning problems in unfamiliar environments, pricing dynamics with unforeseen contingencies, and adverse selection in decentralized markets. She obtained her PhD from the European University Institute in Florence and has worked as an Assistant Professor at Bocconi University and the University of Mannheim. Currently, she holds the position of Associate Professor at the University of Bonn.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-spacer is-spacer-size-sm\"><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\"><figure class=\"wp-block-dev4-reusable-blocks-image  object-fit--contain\">\n    \n<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-block-image unilux-custom-image-block\"\n                alt=\"\"\n            src=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2023\/08\/FNR-logo.jpg.png\"\n                srcset=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2023\/08\/FNR-logo.jpg-300x50.png 300w, https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2023\/08\/FNR-logo.jpg-1024x172.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2023\/08\/FNR-logo.jpg-768x129.png 768w, https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2023\/08\/FNR-logo.jpg-1536x258.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2023\/08\/FNR-logo.jpg.png 1920w\"\n                style=\"object-position: 0.00% 0.00%; font-family: &quot;object-fit: contain; object-position: 0.00% 0.00%;&quot;; aspect-ratio: 16\/9; object-fit: contain; width: 75%;\"\n        loading=\"lazy\"\n\/>    <\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-unilux-blocks-spacer is-spacer-size-sm\"><\/div>\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Supported by the Luxembourg National Research Fund (FNR) 17931929<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"featured_image_focal_point":[],"show_featured_caption":false,"ulux_newsletter_groups":"","uluxPostTitle":"","uluxPrePostTitle":"","_trash_the_other_posts":false,"_price":"","_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_header":"","_tribe_default_ticket_provider":"","_tribe_ticket_capacity":"0","_ticket_start_date":"","_ticket_end_date":"","_tribe_ticket_show_description":"","_tribe_ticket_show_not_going":false,"_tribe_ticket_use_global_stock":"","_tribe_ticket_global_stock_level":"","_global_stock_mode":"","_global_stock_cap":"","_tribe_rsvp_for_event":"","_tribe_ticket_going_count":"","_tribe_ticket_not_going_count":"","_tribe_tickets_list":"[]","_tribe_ticket_has_attendee_info_fields":false},"news-category":[],"news-topic":[],"organisation":[101],"authorship":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v22.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>27 Sept - DEM Lunch Seminar in Economics: Timing Decisions under Uncertainty - FDEF news I University of Luxembourg<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Timing Decisions under Uncertainty Speaker:&nbsp;Sarah AusterUniversity of Bonn, DE DATE:\u00a0Wednesday 27 September 2023 TIME:\u00a013.00 \u2013 14.00 LANGUAGE:\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fdef-en\/news\/dem-lunch-seminar-in-economics-timing-decisions-under-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"27 Sept - DEM Lunch Seminar in Economics: Timing Decisions under Uncertainty\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Timing Decisions under Uncertainty Speaker:&nbsp;Sarah AusterUniversity of Bonn, DE DATE:\u00a0Wednesday 27 September 2023 TIME:\u00a013.00 \u2013 14.00 LANGUAGE:\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fdef-en\/news\/dem-lunch-seminar-in-economics-timing-decisions-under-uncertainty\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"FDEF EN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/uni.FDEF.lu\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-11-14T13:50:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2023\/09\/DEM-lunch-seminar.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"665\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fdef-en\/news\/dem-lunch-seminar-in-economics-timing-decisions-under-uncertainty\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.uni.lu\/fdef-en\/news\/dem-lunch-seminar-in-economics-timing-decisions-under-uncertainty\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"\",\"@id\":\"\"},\"headline\":\"27 Sept &#8211; 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